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Predicting future weather by ice thickness?

the ice thickness illustrated with photo

This post is to document how thick the tank ice is. 8 inches.

Last night was warm and all it took to break through was the bottom of the bucket, but on most days of this January it took a few minutes chipping away at it with the spud bar.

Maybe after collecting a few decades of this data on Imbolc day it will prove to be some sort of indicator on how much more below freezing weather we can expect for the rest of the Winter?

I'm going to take a wild guess and say years with ice thicker than 5 inches on Imbolc day would most likely equal a more mild February and March just because Mother Nature likes to be mysterious when she can.

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